Germany and Poland are among the destinations most likely to be added to the government’s green travel list, according to an analyst.
Robert Boyle, former chief strategy officer for British Airways parent company IAG, predicted 12 countries could be placed in the low risk category this week.
He said this includes nine European countries which are all “strong candidates”, including Austria, Bulgaria, Germany, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia and Switzerland.
Government travel lists are expected to be updated on Thursday.
People arriving in the UK from Green List destinations are not required to self-isolate.
Those traveling from an amber place must self-isolate at home for 10 days, although this requirement will be lifted on Monday for people arriving in England who have received both doses of a coronavirus vaccine in the UK, or who are under the age of 18.
Mr Boyle described Canada as his “best prediction” for going green, as it has low rates of coronavirus cases and test positive, and its vaccine deployment program “is quickly catching up” to that of the UK. United.
But he noted that the North American country does not allow visitors from the UK.
He wrote: âIt’s hard to see a better candidate for the Green List.
âCanadian authorities continue to prohibit British nationals from entering Canada.
“But Australia and New Zealand too and they’re on the green list.
“However, it may be a question of timing, as I’m sure politicians would prefer to announce a simultaneous relaxation of travel restrictions.”
Before the pandemic, around 724,000 British nationals visited Canada each year.
On the prospect of adding the United States to the green list, Boyle said “the numbers still look a bit high”.
But the positivity rate of people arriving in the UK from the US, combined with the US vaccination schedule, means that there is “some political leeway to include it as green if an agreement is reached. concluded on the reopening of the American border, âhe added.
Mr Boyle claimed that Hong Kong “should be green” due to “essentially zero cases and excellent test data”, and “a similar case could be done for Taiwan.”
Regarding countries moving to higher risk categories, he wrote that case rates are “rising rapidly” in Malta and Israel, meaning that there is a “real chance” that the two countries, currently on green list, to be “at least put on the watch list”, which is used to highlight green locations that may soon be moved to the amber level.
He also predicted that Indonesia and Sierra Leone could move from Amber List to Red List due to the “very high percentage of travelers testing positive on arrival”, while Bahrain could move in the opposite direction due to of the “fall in the number of cases”.
People arriving in the UK from a redlisted location are required to spend 11 nights in a quarantine hotel, priced at Â£ 1,750 for solo travelers.